Yahoo Finance: Cash Is King

Posted on September 28th, 2007 in News & Opinion by Smarty

Last week, I wrote an article, Cash Is King and today, Yahoo Finance! published an article with the same title. I have included the article in this post for your convenience.

When a Recession Threatens Cash Suddenly Has Cachet

by By Jonathan Clements
Friday, September 28, 2007provided by The Wall Street Journal Online

When recession rules, cash is king.

It’s tough to figure out where the economy is headed, and some folks think today’s biggest risk is inflation, not recession. Still, in trimming the federal-funds rate last week, the Federal Reserve noted that “the tightening of credit conditions” could “restrain economic growth.”

Indeed, the signs are ominous. August’s jobs data were notably dismal, with nonfarm payrolls shrinking by 4,000, instead of the 112,000 job increase expected by Wall Street. Americans are getting squeezed by tumbling home prices, rising mortgage payments and $80-a-barrel oil, and all this could cut into consumer spending.

If the economy turns sluggish, it will be rough on those who lose their jobs, while offering buying opportunities to those still employed. But either way, there’s one thing you’ll want — and that’s access to cash.

Taking advantage.

A mountain of cash would, of course, be a great comfort if you’re laid off. But even if you hang on to your job, a little extra money in a high-yield savings account or a money-market fund could prove mighty useful.

Maybe a recession will further pummel the housing market, and you can put your savings toward buying a vacation home or trading up to a larger house. Maybe a slowing economy will knock shares lower, and you can use your cash to buy stocks at bargain prices.

For the cash-rich, a recession can also be a good time to purchase a car, as dealers slash prices to unload inventory. Alternatively, you might seize the chance to remodel the kitchen, knowing that contractors will likely bid more aggressively for your business.

Reclaiming savings.

With all this in mind, stockpile savings.

But where? If you think your job is in jeopardy, forget funding the kid’s college account and don’t make extra-principal payments on your mortgage. The problem: If you lose your job, it may be hard to get your hands on this money.

You might also be tempted to skip your 401(k) plan. But in fact, sticking enough in your 401(k) to get your employer’s full matching contribution should remain your top financial priority.

True, if you’re laid off and strapped for cash, you might be forced to tap your 401(k), triggering income taxes and possibly tax penalties. That double whammy, however, will likely be more than offset by today’s twin benefits, in the form of an initial tax deduction and the matching employer contribution.

After you have funded your 401(k), direct additional savings into a Roth individual retirement account. You can fully fund a Roth if you are single with income below $99,000 or married filing jointly with income under $156,000.

One of the Roth’s little-known benefits: At any time, you can withdraw your contributions — but not the account’s investment earnings — without paying taxes or penalties. That means this year’s $4,000 Roth contribution could be next year’s unemployment fund or next year’s home-improvement fund.

Got additional money to save? Stuff it in a savings account or a money fund held in a regular taxable account. If you lose your job or buy a vacation home, this is the first place you should go for cash.

Downsizing debt.

As you prep your finances for a possible recession, also get your debts under control.

Buy yourself some financial breathing room by paying off your credit cards. If you’re worried you might get laid off, think twice before taking on new financial obligations, such as car leases and loans.

Also, set up a home-equity line of credit and check whether it’s worth refinancing your mortgage to lower your monthly payments. You will likely find the mortgage company more receptive today, while you are still employed and still creditworthy.

If the economy slips into recession, and you lose your job or undertake major home improvements, the credit line could be a godsend. What if there’s no recession? This extra borrowing power might still come in handy — and you will no doubt find some use for all that extra cash you’ve saved.

Business Idea #3: Taxi Debit Cards

Posted on September 26th, 2007 in Business Ideas, Analyses, Strategies by Smarty

Background
In the city that never sleeps, there are taxis roaming the streets at all times of the day. There are always taxis stopping at every corner of the street and often holding up traffic. Once, on my way home, there was this taxi that stopped right in front of the bus I was sitting on. The bus honked but the taxi driver didn’t move. The taxi driver was closing a transaction with the passenger. It took about 30 seconds, but 30 seconds is a long time in a fast pace city. So I thought, “How can we speed up money transactions in cabs?”

Business Idea
The idea is to allow the customer to pay with a debit card and have the payment processed instantly on the spot. The goal is to speed up the payment transaction time and implement a central payment processing system for taxis. The user will have an option to select an additional amount for tips. For security purposes, the user will have to punch in a pin number to approve the payment.

Debit Card Interface
The machines will have numeral keys zero to nine, a pre-defined 10%, 15%, and an ‘Other’ tip button, an ‘Enter’, and a ‘Cancel’ button. The pre-defined tip buttons are set for the customer’s convenience.

Implementation
There will be two debit card readers in the taxi, one in the front passenger seat and one at the back seats. The readers are linked to the taxi meters. The card readers will sync with a central server on a pre-determined period to keep the local card reader database up to date. The sync process can be done with wires or over a wireless network.

Scenario
Customer enters a taxi. The taxi travels from Point A to Point B. Before arriving Point B, the customer swipes his/her debit card on the machine. The machine now has the card number stored. Once the taxi reaches the destination, the total fare is displayed to the customer. The customer enters the tip amount by pressing the pre-defined 10% button and then enter his/her pin number to approve the transaction. The payment is processed instantly and the customer leaves the cab. No bills, no coins, no hassle.

Benefits
The debit cards will save time for both the customer and the taxi driver, plus speed up traffic. The taxi drivers in New York City frequently double park on busy streets and block traffic. The debit card system can help speed up the payment transaction times and allow the cab to move with traffic sooner.

Tracking
The machine will also log detailed information and the information can be access via a website. The taxi driver will be able to get reports on how many customers have ridden over the past day, week, or month, as well as fare earned, average fare, etc. The customers can also get similar reports on his/her number of cab rides over the past week, month, or year, as well as the amount spent, average cost, etc. The website will also allow customers to refill their debit card balance.

Additional Features
The taxi payment system can be integrated with credit card systems to allow more types of payments. This also makes payments more convenient for customers who do not have taxi debit cards.

My Financial Accounts

Posted on September 20th, 2007 in Money Management by Smarty

In response to my post, Money Management 201, here is an overview of my accounts:

Credit Card Accounts
This account is use to make purchases on credit. Use this account to build up credit and rack up points/miles/cash. Make sure you can pay off amount before charging. Preferably, this account pays rewards and has no annual fees.

Citibank Platinum Select Dividend - This is my primary personal credit card. I make most of my purchases on this card since it gives me cash rewards.

American Express Blue - Used to pay rent. My building accepts AmEx payments. Great way to rack up points.

DiscoverCard - Used this card a lot in the past, but don’t use it anymore. Thinking of canceling it.

Chase Freedom - This card is in idle status. I used it this briefly in the beginning because of the promo cashback rewards. It’s sitting in my drawer now and it hasn’t seen light for more than two years.

Chase Amazon - Used only for Amazon purchases. Pays 3 points per dollar spent.

American Express Business Platinum Card - Primary card for business purchases. Supports MS Money downloads, which is helpful for tracking expenses. Also, AmEx has excellent customer service.

Advanta Platinum BusinessCard - Used only for business purchases. Hardly use this card anymore. Replaced it with the American Express Business Platinum Card.

Checking Account
This account serves as a front line for financial transactions. Use this account to write checks and handle transactions not accessible in savings accounts. Preferably, this account pays interest. However, it’s more important to be fee-conscious.

Citibank Checking Account - I use this account to write checks for bills that do no accept credit cards, such as my electric bill. In fact, I have setup automatic payments for bills. I leave about $500 in this account.

Short term Savings Account
This account serves as your emergency fund and should host about three to six months of income. Cash should be easily accessible. Preferably, this account has a high-yielding interest rate.

Citibank e-Savings - I deposit all my checks to this account. I use this account to fund my checking. If my Checking Account runs low on funds, I can transfer money instantly from this account over to Checking. I also have setup automatic payments for bills. This account also serves as my emergency fund.

Long term Savings Account
This account serves as a dedicated place for your savings. Accessibility can be sacrificed for higher yields. Certificate of Deposits and other secured investments are options here.

Washington Mutual CD - Promotional interest rate. Matures on 9/30/2007. Going to move funds to the investment account.

Non-Retirement Brokerage Account
This account serves as a trading center for stocks, mutual funds, bonds, or other investments. It should have low commissions and no annual or maintenance fees. Discounted brokerage accounts are options here.

Fidelity Investment - This is my primary trading account. Fidelity has a large array of research material and helps keep all my investment accounts in one place.

TD Ameritrade iZone - This was my primary trading account until I started trading in Fidelity. I like the low commissions in iZone so I keep this account active.

Retirement Brokerage Account
This account serves as an investment center for your retirement portfolio. It should have low commissions and no annual or maintenance fees. Index funds, mutual funds, and dividend stocks are options here.

Scottrade Roth IRA - This is my designated Roth IRA account.

Guardian Retirement 401k Plan - This account was opened by my ex-employer. I am no longer contributing to this account but I leave my funds with my ex-employer because I like the funds there. I may consider moving this account to Scottrade in the future.

Account Management
Manage all your accounts using financial software such as MS Money or Quicken. Track all incoming and outgoing financial transactions.

Microsoft Money - I use this software almost daily to keep track of all my accounts and transactions. The online download feature makes it easy to update all the transactions from financial institutions. Money also has great reporting tools.

Posted on September 19th, 2007 in Uncategorized by Smarty

Rate Cut Party Continues

Sep 19 - U.S. stocks rallied for the second straight day after the Federal Reserve’s surprise half-point rate cut.

Carnival Of Personal Finance #118

Posted on September 17th, 2007 in News & Opinion by Smarty

Cash Is King

Posted on September 13th, 2007 in Investing Ideas, Analyses, Strategies by Smarty

The stock market has seen some wild swings recently, the sub prime market is almost devastated, and the real estate market is falling. With so much uncertainty, the best place to park your money is in cash. Cash is safe and liquid.

The stock market index has moved up and down in a huge range over the past few months. The Dow has closed with a spread of more than 100 points 32 times since June 1, 2007. Let’s take a look at the high volatility of the Dow from June 1 to September 11, 2007.

Date Change
9/11/2007 180.54
9/7/2007 -249.97
9/5/2007 -143.39
8/31/2007 119.01
8/29/2007 247.44
8/28/2007 -280.28
8/24/2007 142.99
8/22/2007 145.27
8/17/2007 233.3
8/15/2007 -167.45
8/14/2007 -207.61
8/9/2007 -387.18
8/8/2007 153.56
8/6/2007 286.87
8/3/2007 -281.42
8/2/2007 100.96
8/1/2007 150.38
7/31/2007 -146.32
7/27/2007 -208.1
7/26/2007 -312.22
7/24/2007 -226.47
7/20/2007 -149.33
7/12/2007 283.86
7/10/2007 -148.27
7/2/2007 126.81
6/22/2007 -185.58
6/20/2007 -146
6/13/2007 187.34
6/12/2007 -129.95
6/8/2007 157.66
6/7/2007 -198.94
6/6/2007 -129.79

The Dow Index has rallied as much as 286.87 points on August 6, 2007. A few days later, on August 9, 2007, the market dropped by as much as 387.18 points. That is a spread of 647.05 points in three days. Imagine you are holding a company that trends with the Dow but on a wider scale. You will be seeing some wild movements and it may be difficult to stomach such volatility, especially if much of your money is in there.

I think it’s a good time to have more cash on hand and wait on the sidelines until this “mess” clears up. It will be also be a good opportunity to pick up some stocks for a cheaper price.

I have sold most of my stock positions in August and my money is mostly in cash. I will take this time and opportunity to do some research on companies. I look for solid companies that have a solid track record and great long term growth prospects but the shares are currently oversold. The deeply depressed stock price allows me to buy shares of the company for a discount and gives me a comfort of security. I feel the risk level is very low and at the same time there is great opportunity for reward. This strategy has always worked out well for me. Whenever I buy stocks with little downside to it, I do not have to fear of a big drop and if I’m patient enough, I usually end up reaping huge gains.

One great example is my purchase with the big pharma company, Pfizer. I bought shares of PFE at $21.25 on 12/5/2006. It was a time when shares of PFE were being dropped left and right, but the company was doing well. Around that time PFE also increased dividends. I held my shares of PFE for a little over a year and sold them earlier this year, at $24.85 on 3/6/2007. My gains came in at a nice 17% plus about a 4% dividend, so the total is roughly a 21% gain. Also, because I held my shares for at least one year, I would pay only 15% on long term capital gains tax on the investment.

Another market I like to invest in is the real estate market. The real estate market has risen for the past several years and has finally gone into a down trend. With the sub prime market crushed and home prices depreciating, a good place to park your money would be in cash.

I’m waiting patiently for a good opportunity to enter the real estate market. If I can buy at the right place and at the right time, I can end up with a property that will appreciate greatly over time.

I like being in cash positions because it allows me to be financially flexible. I can move my money in any market at any time. If I think the stock market is the place to go, I can immediately buy shares of stocks. If I think the real estate market has a good entry point, I can immediately shift my money to the real estate for a deposit or down payment. The liquidity is an important factor; it can make or break a deal.

Let’s look at a scenario where liquidity can help or hurt you. Imagine you see a very nice house for a bargain. The owner is trying to sell the house quick and asks you for a deposit. Your money is tied up and you tell the owner you need some time to free up your money. The owner cannot wait and sells the house to another person who can immediately put down the deposit. You have just lost a great investment opportunity.

Liquidity is important. Untied money allows you to pick up bargains quickly and move freely from one market to another to take advantage of opportunities. Cash is king.

Posted on September 13th, 2007 in Uncategorized by Smarty

Oil Sets $80 Record

Sep 12 - Crude oil prices temporarily topped $80 in New York for the first time on record after a sharp drawdown in U.S. inventories sparked supply concerns.

Posted on September 12th, 2007 in Uncategorized by Smarty

Wall St. Smells A Rate Cut

Sep 11 - Rate cut hopes plus strong corporate news equaled a rise in stock prices on Tuesday, the sixth anniversary of the Sept. 11 attacks.The blue-chip Dow rose 180 points to 13,308. The broader S&P 500 rose 19 points to 1,471. The tech-based Nasdaq tacked on 38 points to 2,597.

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