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How Speculators Exploit Market Fears

http://finance.yahoo.com/expert/article/yourlife/41148

Wow, this is a great article. What he says makes a lot of sense. The companies are still reporting great profits. I believe the market is being driven down by hedge funds, especially with drops like 100+ points in a single day. That’s what happens when you instill panic in a tight crowd. It’s like shouting fire in a public area.

Last Friday, Dow Jones dropped by more than 200 points and all the investors started running to the exit. There was so much selling, the investors got squeezed out and had to sell lower, thus driving the market down.

Oil demand ‘rising faster than expected’

Oil demand ‘rising faster than expected’
World oil demand is rising faster than previously expected while non-Opec supply is growing more slowly, the International Energy Agency has said in its latest monthly assessment of the market.

The rich countries’ energy watchdog warned on Tuesday of growing tightness in oil supplies in the second half of the year, and urged the Organisation of the Petrolem Exporting Countries to raise its output.

David Fyfe, an analyst at the IEA, said: “We would very much hope that Opec production is at its seasonal low at the moment… We definitely do need more crude oil.”

The IEA now expects demand for oil to rise by 1.7m barrels a day this year compared to last year – an increase of about 2 per cent – and non-Opec oil supply to rise by just 900,000 b/d. That rise in demand is 167,000 b/d more than the IEA had previously estimated, while the rise in non-Opec supply is 97,000 b/d less.

The report estimated that world oil stocks could drop by 1m-1.5m barrels a day in the third quarter, which it said “would push forward stock cover down towards the low levels seen when prices accelerated higher in 2004. That is, by itself, a concern.”

Opec officials have played down the possibility of any increase in production before the next ministerial meeting in Vienna on September 11.

However, speaking to the FT at the beginning of June, Abdalla El-Badri, Opec’s secretary-general, left open the possibility of raising production later in the year, saying the decision would depend on what happened to oil stocks.

The IEA report, though viewed by analysts as supporting the price of oil, failed to prevent it falling during the morning. At mid-day in London, Brent crude was down 41 cents at $69.15 a barrel

Dow Crosses 13,000 for 1st Time

Dow Crosses 13,000 for 1st Time
Wednesday April 25, 11:20 am ET
By Madlen Read, AP Business Writer 

NEW YORK (AP) — The Dow Jones industrial average shot past 13,000 for the first time Wednesday, powered by signs that the U.S. economy and corporate profits are growing at a steady pace.
The stock market’s best-known indicator surged past its latest milestone shortly after the opening of trading, and continued rising to 13,036.99 before retracing some of its steps and hovering below the 13,000 mark.
 
The Dow climbed to a new record as many of the country’s biggest companies surpassed analysts’ first-quarter earnings projections. Among those beating forecasts Wednesday: soft drink maker PepsiCo Inc., materials manufacturer Corning Inc., consumer products company Colgate-Palmolive Co. and Dow component Boeing Co.

Wall Street got an additional lift from the Commerce Department’s report of durable goods orders last month, which showed a robust gain in business capital goods. The data reassured investors that demand for U.S. products remains strong, lending support to the economy. The department also reported that sales of new homes rebounded slightly in March, as the market expected.

The earnings and economic data indicated slow, stable growth — an ideal situation for investors, who hope the Federal Reserve will abstain from raising interest rates to curb inflation.

“The U.S. economy is in pretty good shape,” said Scott Wren, equity strategist for A.G. Edwards & Sons. “We want slow earnings growth. We want slow economic growth. It keeps the Fed on the sidelines.”

It took the Dow just 129 trading days, since Oct. 18, to make the trek from 12,000 to 13,000, far less than the 7 1/2 years that the blue chips took to go from 11,000 to 12,000. But the swiftness of this latest trip does recall the days of the dot-com boom when the major indexes were soaring and it took the Dow a mere 24 days to barrel from 10,000 to 11,000.

In the first hour of trading, the Dow was up 29.90, or 0.23 percent, at 12,983.84. The index typically has retreated after crossing big milestones in the past.

The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index was up 3.77, or 0.25 percent, at 1,484.18, while the technology-dominated Nasdaq composite index was up 4.00, or 0.16, at 2,528.54.

Bonds slipped on the positive economic data, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rising to 4.64 percent from 4.62 percent late Tuesday.

The Dow was the first of the major indexes to recover from the stock market’s prolonged slump in the early part of the decade. The S&P 500 has yet to reach its closing peak of 1,527.46, reached in March 2000, and no one expects the Nasdaq to reach its record of 5,048.62, also reached in March 2000, anytime soon.

Still, the Dow’s latest achievement did not come without setbacks and volatility — the index lost 416 points in a single session, on Feb. 27, amid fears that the U.S. economy would fall into recession and that China’s economy would slow as well. And Wall Street has had periodic shudders over signs that inflation might be getting out of hand — a trend that would lead the Federal Reserve to resume interest rate hikes — and over data that showed continuing weakness in the housing market.

Just two weeks ago, the Dow fell nearly 90 points after minutes from the last Fed meeting showed the central bank’s level of concern about inflation.

Gold rose, while the dollar approached a record low against the euro.

Crude oil prices rose 64 cents to $65.22 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after the Energy Department reported a decline in U.S. gasoline inventories.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by about 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 390.1 million shares.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies was up 1.00, or 0.12 percent, at 827.36.

Overseas, Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell 1.24 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 was up 0.58 percent, Germany’s DAX index was up 1.04 percent, and France’s CAC-40 was up 1.30 percent.

Source: Yahoo! Finance

Blogging

I updated my permalinks and changed my template this week. I notice I’ve spending a lot of time on the blog. I would say that I probably spend about ten hours a week on the blog. How many hours do you spent blogging?

Blog Template Update

I wanted to switch to a three-column template and this one has the color scheme I like. Green is good. My only complain is that this template is still in beta and the widgets are not working. I have to manually edit the codes. My blogging hours are starting to add up. Jonathan was right, it does takes a lot of time to set up blogs. I wish I could get paid for it.

I hope you guys enjoy the new theme. Lots of good posts to come.

Making Money On the Web

Interesting article:

Lessons from the “Million Dollar Homepage”

Domain Down

The domain was down last night and today morning. I’m not sure what the reason was, but it’s back up now.

How To Go Broke

I have added the capability of posting YouTube videos on my blog. By the way, the above video will show you how to go broke, not rich. If you continue to believe in infomercials and get-rich-quick schemes, you’ll go broke faster than the video finishes playing.

WordPress Templates

WordPress offers a lot of themes. I haven’t had time to browse all of them yet. I like the theme I’m using now, but I want a 3-column blog template. I emailed the author of the template I’m using but he has not responded to me. I planning to switch to a 3-column template with a similar theme as this one. If you know of any good themes, please let me know.

2005 Investment Goal Results

Back in June 2005, I made a daring investment goal of making $20,000 profit in stocks over a year period. I went back to my records today and saw that on June 1, 2006, I have made a gain of $11,000. I’ve only accomplished 55% of my goal. Note, I’ve added a total of $50 in my investment account during that one year period. But nevertheless, it was a good attempt.